Uddin, Md. Shihab (University of Alabama in Huntsville), Shakib, Md Nazmus (University of Alabama in Huntsville), Bhadani, Rahul (The University of Alabama in Huntsville)

Modeling Electric Vehicle Car-Following Behavior: Classical vs Machine Learning Approach

Scheduled for presentation during the Video Session "On-Demand Video Presentations" (VP-VP), Saturday, November 22, 2025, 08:00−18:00, On-Demand Platform

2025 IEEE 28th International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITSC), November 18-21, 2025, Gold Coast, Australia

This information is tentative and subject to change. Compiled on April 2, 2026

Abstract

The increasing adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) necessitates an understanding of their driving behavior to enhance traffic safety and develop smart driving systems. This study compares classical and machine learning models for EV car-following behavior. Classical models include the Intelligent Driver Model (IDM), Optimum Velocity Model (OVM), Optimal Velocity Relative Velocity (OVRV), and a simplified CACC model, while the machine learning approach employs a Random Forest Regressor. Using a real-world dataset of an EV following an internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicle under varied driving conditions, we calibrated classical model parameters by minimizing the RMSE between predictions and real data. The Random Forest model predicts acceleration using spacing, speed, and gap type as inputs. Results demonstrate the Random Forest’s superior accuracy, achieving RMSEs of 0.0046 (medium gap), 0.0016 (long gap), and 0.0025 (extra-long gap). Among physics-based models, CACC performed best, with an RMSE of 2.67 for long gaps. These findings highlight the machine learning model’s performance across all scenarios. Such models are valuable for simulating EV behavior and analyzing mixed-autonomy traffic dynamics in EV-integrated environments.