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Paper FrAT16.7

Fischer, Johannes (Karlsruhe Institute of Technology), Stiller, Christoph (Karlsruhe Institute of Technology)

Data-Driven Online Estimation of Driver Model Parameters for Vehicle Trajectory Prediction

Scheduled for presentation during the Poster Session "Operation and navigation of automated vehicles" (FrAT16), Friday, September 27, 2024, 10:30−12:30, Foyer

2024 IEEE 27th International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITSC), September 24- 27, 2024, Edmonton, Canada

This information is tentative and subject to change. Compiled on December 26, 2024

Keywords Automated Vehicle Operation, Motion Planning, Navigation, Simulation and Modeling, Off-line and Online Data Processing Techniques

Abstract

Fast and accurate trajectory prediction is crucial for the development and validation of automated driving systems. Using driver models for prediction is a promising approach to achieve this since they can produce realistic driving behavior at low computational cost. To produce high-quality predictions, the driver model parameters need to be adapted to the current traffic situation and observed driving behavior online. Our work combines data-driven methods with driver models to obtain realistic short-term trajectory predictions. We propose to train machine learning models to predict the driver model parameters that best capture the observed behavior of other vehicles. We use attention-based architectures to process sequential input data and predict the driver model parameters as a weighted sum of prototypes, thus ensuring that the predicted driving model parameters are realistic. Compared to particle filter-based state-of-the-art methods, our approach profits from the rich representational capabilities of learned models and the high online runtime efficiency of driver models. We show that our approach outperforms state-of-the-art methods for online driver model parameter estimation on a real-world traffic dataset.

 

 

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