Chelenahalli Satish, Manthan (Arizona State University), Lu, Duo (Rider University), Farhadi, Mohammad (Arizona State University), Chakravarthi, Bharatesh (Arizona State University), Yang, Yezhou (Arizona State University)

Roundabout Dilemma Zone Data Mining and Forecasting with Trajectory Prediction and Graph Neural Networks

Scheduled for presentation during the Invited Session "Modeling, Optimization and Game Control of Human-Machine Interaction Behavior in Intelligent Transportation Systems" (ThAT10), Thursday, September 26, 2024, 12:10−12:30, Salon 18

2024 IEEE 27th International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITSC), September 24- 27, 2024, Edmonton, Canada

This information is tentative and subject to change. Compiled on December 26, 2024

Abstract

Traffic roundabouts, as complex and critical road scenarios, pose significant safety challenges for autonomous vehicles. In particular, the encounter of a vehicle with a dilemma zone (DZ) at a roundabout intersection is a pivotal concern. This paper presents an automated system that leverages trajectory forecasting to predict DZ events, specifically at traffic roundabouts. Our system aims to enhance safety standards in both autonomous and manual transportation. The core of our approach is a modular, graph-structured recurrent model that forecasts the trajectories of diverse agents, taking into account agent dynamics and integrating heterogeneous data, such as semantic maps. This model, based on graph neural networks, aids in predicting DZ events and enhances traffic management decision-making. We evaluated our system using a real-world dataset of traffic roundabout intersections. Our experimental results demonstrate that our dilemma forecasting system achieves a high precision with a low false positive rate of 0.1. This research represents an advancement in roundabout DZ data mining and forecasting, contributing to the assurance of intersection safety in the era of autonomous vehicles.